Skip to main content

$PATE

24EX9CQq…wNDwpump · called 8/26/2026, 4:06:46 PM

Re-read this now
the call

SCALE IN

Coil is low and flow is not distributing. Build in tranches, not all at once.

PATE is quiet: coil 0.06, 1.6% of float trapped above.

conviction
49%
re-check in 29 min

the reasoning, as recorded at the time

  • No coordinated insider cluster detected in the resolved holder set.
  • Coiled supply 10.2% vs trapped supply 1.6% — more of the float is sitting in profit than is stuck underwater, so rallies get sold.
  • Velocity of realization is -0.59 — flow is accumulating, not distributing.
  • Trapdoor at $0.000203: the largest block of in-profit supply goes breakeven there. Below it, paper gains become a stampede.
  • Ceiling at $0.000251: trapped bags get whole at that level and will sell into the first touch.

ladder given

24% at $0.000285 · 29% at $0.000380 · 20% at $0.000535 · 27% runs · hard stop $0.000197 (-13%).

Share this call

This call is in the public ledger whether it aged well or not.