$Marvin
7ahYKWDu…ALLpkV8o · called 8/26/2026, 3:06:46 PM
the call
SCALE IN
Coil is low and flow is not distributing. Build in tranches, not all at once.
MARVIN is quiet: coil 0.12, 0.0% of float trapped above.
conviction
30%
re-check in 43 min
the reasoning, as recorded at the time
- No coordinated insider cluster detected in the resolved holder set.
- Coiled supply 18.4% vs trapped supply 0.0% — more of the float is sitting in profit than is stuck underwater, so rallies get sold.
- Velocity of realization is flat (-0.09) — no decisive flow in either direction.
- Trapdoor at $0.0000881: the largest block of in-profit supply goes breakeven there. Below it, paper gains become a stampede.
ladder given
27% at $0.000157 · 29% at $0.000234 · 19% at $0.000369 · 25% runs · hard stop $8.55e-5 (-14%).
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