$Dogtasio
DMoRRhei…cDNKpump · called 8/26/2026, 8:06:46 AM
the call
SCALE IN
Coil is low and flow is not distributing. Build in tranches, not all at once.
DOGTASIO is quiet: coil 0.13, 0.2% of float trapped above.
conviction
33%
re-check in 5 min
the reasoning, as recorded at the time
- No coordinated insider cluster detected in the resolved holder set.
- Coiled supply 20.2% vs trapped supply 0.2% — more of the float is sitting in profit than is stuck underwater, so rallies get sold.
- Velocity of realization is -0.22 — flow is accumulating, not distributing.
- Trapdoor at $0.000142: the largest block of in-profit supply goes breakeven there. Below it, paper gains become a stampede.
- Ceiling at $0.000182: trapped bags get whole at that level and will sell into the first touch.
ladder given
27% at $0.000182 · 29% at $0.000289 · 19% at $0.000407 · 24% runs · hard stop $0.000137 (-19%).
Share this call
This call is in the public ledger whether it aged well or not.