$RedLeek
57L636Do…Fg9Wpump · called 8/26/2026, 4:06:45 AM
the call
SCALE IN
Coil is low and flow is not distributing. Build in tranches, not all at once.
REDLEEK is quiet: coil 0.14, 3.0% of float trapped above.
conviction
32%
re-check in 13 min
the reasoning, as recorded at the time
- No coordinated insider cluster detected in the resolved holder set.
- Coiled supply 22.8% vs trapped supply 3.0% — more of the float is sitting in profit than is stuck underwater, so rallies get sold.
- Velocity of realization is -0.19 — flow is accumulating, not distributing.
- Trapdoor at $0.0000515: the largest block of in-profit supply goes breakeven there. Below it, paper gains become a stampede.
- Ceiling at $0.000117: trapped bags get whole at that level and will sell into the first touch.
ladder given
28% at $0.000169 · 29% at $0.000242 · 19% at $0.000370 · 24% runs · hard stop $6.31e-5 (-45%).
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