$SABL
DaPayqzd…gVdqpump · called 8/26/2026, 12:19:49 AM
the call
SCALE IN
Coil is low and flow is not distributing. Build in tranches, not all at once.
SABL is quiet: coil 0.18, 1.9% of float trapped above.
conviction
27%
re-check in 14 min
the reasoning, as recorded at the time
- No coordinated insider cluster detected in the resolved holder set.
- Coiled supply 27.9% vs trapped supply 1.9% — more of the float is sitting in profit than is stuck underwater, so rallies get sold.
- Velocity of realization is -0.16 — flow is accumulating, not distributing.
- Trapdoor at $0.000242: the largest block of in-profit supply goes breakeven there. Below it, paper gains become a stampede.
- Ceiling at $0.000278: trapped bags get whole at that level and will sell into the first touch.
ladder given
30% at $0.000278 · 29% at $0.000421 · 19% at $0.000596 · 22% runs · hard stop $0.000235 (-4%).
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