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$SABL

DaPayqzd…gVdqpump · called 8/26/2026, 12:12:59 AM

Re-read this now
the call

SCALE IN

Coil is low and flow is not distributing. Build in tranches, not all at once.

SABL is quiet: coil 0.16, 3.2% of float trapped above.

conviction
26%
re-check in 14 min

the reasoning, as recorded at the time

  • No coordinated insider cluster detected in the resolved holder set.
  • Coiled supply 25.8% vs trapped supply 3.2% — more of the float is sitting in profit than is stuck underwater, so rallies get sold.
  • Velocity of realization is flat (-0.06) — no decisive flow in either direction.
  • Trapdoor at $0.0000964: the largest block of in-profit supply goes breakeven there. Below it, paper gains become a stampede.
  • Ceiling at $0.000156: trapped bags get whole at that level and will sell into the first touch.

ladder given

29% at $0.000156 · 29% at $0.000253 · 19% at $0.000356 · 23% runs · hard stop $9.35e-5 (-38%).

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