$PUMPFOLIO
J4iSX8U2…uKX16CMS · called 8/25/2026, 9:49:28 PM
the call
SCALE IN
Coil is low and flow is not distributing. Build in tranches, not all at once.
PUMPFOLIO is quiet: coil 0.07, 2.3% of float trapped above.
conviction
35%
re-check in 14 min
what happenedincorrect$0.0₃7143 → $0.0₃5390-24.5% edge
the reasoning, as recorded at the time
- No coordinated insider cluster detected in the resolved holder set.
- Coiled supply 8.9% vs trapped supply 2.3% — more of the float is sitting in profit than is stuck underwater, so rallies get sold.
- Velocity of realization is flat (0.07) — no decisive flow in either direction.
- Trapdoor at $0.000514: the largest block of in-profit supply goes breakeven there. Below it, paper gains become a stampede.
- Ceiling at $0.000774: trapped bags get whole at that level and will sell into the first touch.
ladder given
24% at $0.000774 · 29% at $0.000795 · 20% at $0.000987 · 27% runs · hard stop $0.000593 (-17%).
Share this call
This call is in the public ledger whether it aged well or not.