$SNIPY
5RhPVzDs…KNFEpump · called 8/25/2026, 9:49:27 PM
the call
SCALE IN
Coil is low and flow is not distributing. Build in tranches, not all at once.
SNIPY is quiet: coil 0.09, 2.6% of float trapped above.
conviction
42%
re-check in 4 min
what happenedincorrect$0.0₃2435 → $0.0₅1906-99.2% edge
the reasoning, as recorded at the time
- No coordinated insider cluster detected in the resolved holder set.
- Coiled supply 15.5% vs trapped supply 2.6% — more of the float is sitting in profit than is stuck underwater, so rallies get sold.
- Velocity of realization is -0.53 — flow is accumulating, not distributing.
- Trapdoor at $0.000146: the largest block of in-profit supply goes breakeven there. Below it, paper gains become a stampede.
- Ceiling at $0.000271: trapped bags get whole at that level and will sell into the first touch.
ladder given
25% at $0.000271 · 29% at $0.000412 · 20% at $0.000581 · 26% runs · hard stop $0.000141 (-42%).
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