$aoc
3gjBts3Y…eUEGov1B · called 8/25/2026, 7:18:23 PM
the call
SCALE IN
Coil is low and flow is not distributing. Build in tranches, not all at once.
AOC is quiet: coil 0.00, 56.4% of float trapped above.
conviction
43%
re-check in 41 min
what happenedincorrect$0.0₃2889 → $0.0₃1716-40.6% edge
the reasoning, as recorded at the time
- No coordinated insider cluster detected in the resolved holder set.
- Coiled supply 0.0% vs trapped supply 56.4% — most of the float is underwater and will not sell into weakness; that is structural support.
- Velocity of realization is +0.17 — profitable holders are actively converting to cash.
- Ceiling at $0.000470: trapped bags get whole at that level and will sell into the first touch.
ladder given
21% at $0.000470 · 29% at $0.000527 · 20% at $0.000780 · 30% runs · hard stop $0.000159 (-45%).
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